Donald Trump Comes Out Of Iowa Looking Like Pat Buchanan

On Monday, Iowa voters did something that Republican “party elites” had failed to do for more than seven months: They rejected Donald Trump. … It’s not uncommon for the polls to be off in Iowa and other early-voting states, but the manner in which Trump underachieved is revealing. It turns […] Read more »

The bad news for Cruz: His Iowa win looks very similar to Huckabee’s and Santorum’s

Ted Cruz’s Iowa victory was a surprise, after the final polls showed him trailing Donald Trump. But Cruz also followed a very familiar path to victory in the Hawkeye State: heavy reliance on strong conservatives and evangelical Christians — and not on first-time caucus-goers. CONT. Scott Clement, Kevin Uhrmacher & […] Read more »

What We Learned From Iowa

Iowa is in the books, and we already have our first surprise: Ted Cruz confounded late polls showing him sliding and Donald Trump rising. Meanwhile, Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders battled to a near-tie. Last week, we asked five questions about what the Iowa results might tell us. What did […] Read more »

Trump, the GOP’s spleen, is ripe for surgery

The Iowa caucuses might have been called the Iowa carcasses. Both parties saw a race between body parts: the head versus the heart. … The Iowa results mean that the races in both parties could go on for a while. The Republican establishment is thrilled to see Trump get his […] Read more »

How pollsters got Iowa wrong

Donald Trump led almost all of the polls leading up to Monday night’s Iowa caucuses – just ask him. … So why did the public polls – including the gold-standard Des Moines Register/Bloomberg Politics Iowa Poll – miss Cruz’s victory? There are some clues buried in the election results and […] Read more »