An interesting and meaningful week saw Donald Trump fall after his results in Iowa and then gain after his results in New Hampshire (debate that is). Marco Rubio, after his strong third in Iowa, once again failed to capitalize on his moment by collapsing during the eighth Republican debate. But, […] Read more »
Marco Rubio downplays Muslim discrimination. So do many Republicans.
Following President Obama’s visit to a Baltimore mosque this week, Sen. Marco Rubio (R-Fla.) criticized the move. “Look at today — he gave a speech at a mosque,” Rubio said Wednesday. “Oh, you know, basically implying that America is discriminating against Muslims. …” Whether or not there exists “widespread” and […] Read more »
We Thought Marco Rubio Lost The Debate, But New Hampshire Might Think Differently
We here at FiveThirtyEight endorse the conventional wisdom, for a change. Like most other people covering the event, we thought that Marco Rubio had a really bad night in Saturday’s Republican debate, that the three Republican governors (Chris Christie, Jeb Bush and John Kasich) had a pretty good night, and […] Read more »
Polls contradict Marco Rubio on public support for a change in status for illegal immigrants
Marco Rubio was grilled about his 2013 immigration bill during the ABC debate in New Hampshire, specifically about why he abandoned his own legislation. … Rubio replied: “We can’t get that legislation passed. The American people will not support doing anything about people that are in this country illegally until […] Read more »
Iowa: Late Vote Swing Led to Cruz Win
A significant number of Republican caucus-goers changed their minds over the final few days of the Iowa campaign – enough to account for the difference between pre-election polling and the actual result. The Monmouth University Poll re-contacted a panel of likely voters who took part in its final Iowa poll […] Read more »
Sanders, Trump Still Favored in New Hampshire
New Hampshire, as usual, will not be inclined to ratify the result of its early-state rival, Iowa. In open seat races, it’s natural for New Hampshire to zag after Iowa zigs: In the modern era of presidential nominations starting in 1972, there have been 16 contested presidential primaries (seven for […] Read more »