… Cruz has locked up the conservative lane and Trump has the populist; the establishment/conventional wing of the GOP remains badly splintered. Rubio had a chance to break away from the pack in New Hampshire, but blew it with his performance in the last debate. … Apparently Clinton is about […] Read more »
New Hampshire Takeaways: Trust, Experience and Message Count
More than half a million voters cast ballots in the New Hampshire primary on Tuesday, rewarding Donald J. Trump and Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont with resounding victories, and sending some candidates home to rethink their campaigns. But the results also tell much about the electorate and the challenges the […] Read more »
Trump’s Two Victories in New Hampshire
Donald Trump won twice in New Hampshire last night: once because he transcended many of the Republican Party’s historic divides, and a second time because the voters most resistant to him remained fragmented. With his commanding New Hampshire win, Trump demonstrated again that his maverick appeal has replaced many of […] Read more »
Exit Polls Don’t Back Rubio’s Claim That Debate Hurt Him
Given continued coverage of Marco Rubio’s claim that his poor performance in Saturday’s debate caused his fifth-place finish in the New Hampshire Republican primary, we wanted to put some data behind the point -– that the exit poll just doesn’t back him up. We’ve got two ways to look at […] Read more »
The Republicans: Trump Soars, Rubio Falters
Six months ago, Donald Trump as New Hampshire primary winner was almost unimaginable. Yet here we are: he triumphed, and it wasn’t even close. So much for the Iowa narrative, which held that Trump had no ground game and would always fall short of his predicted margin in polls. CONT. […] Read more »
Republicans Need To Treat Donald Trump As The Front-Runner
Donald Trump became the latest Republican presidential candidate to win at least 20 percent of the vote in both Iowa and New Hampshire after an overwhelming victory here on Tuesday; he beat his nearest rival, John Kasich, 35 percent to 16 percent. … All of this might not be that […] Read more »