Two surprising results came out of the Nevada Democratic caucuses and South Carolina Republican primary Saturday: in the former, Bernie Sanders’ showing among Hispanics; in the latter, Donald Trump’s performance among evangelicals. Each is worth a closer look. CONT. Gary Langer, ABC News Read more »
The New Shape of the Republican Race
After his solid, broadly based victories in New Hampshire and South Carolina, Donald Trump now holds a commanding position in the race for the Republican presidential nomination. But Trump still faces two “known unknowns,” to borrow the memorable phrase from former Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld, an architect of the Iraq […] Read more »
Core Groups Hold Steady for Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton
Donald J. Trump won the South Carolina Republican primary with a strong showing among his core supporters — men, moderate conservatives, those without college degrees and older voters. … Hillary Clinton patched together a winning coalition in the Nevada caucuses of women, older voters, African-Americans, college graduates and members of […] Read more »
What We Learned From Nevada and South Carolina
1) Hillary firewall holds; Bernie hits his ceiling Despite a last-minute surge of “Bern-mentum” and weakening support among Latinos, Hillary Clinton put up a strong showing at the Nevada caucuses on Saturday thanks in part to strong support from African-Americans and older voters. … 2) Trump wins big and is […] Read more »
How Marco Rubio edged out Ted Cruz for second in S.C. (hint: Nikki Haley helped)
In South Carolina, Marco Rubio barely eclipsed Ted Cruz for second place, beating him by less than two-tenths of a percentage point with almost all votes tallied. The result confirms a late surge in polling for Rubio, and the network exit poll shows it was fueled by the upper-class pragmatists […] Read more »
Trump solidifies front-runner status, but who is his most dangerous rival?
South Carolina’s Republican primary often has had a truly clarifying effect on the party’s presidential nomination race. Saturday’s results appeared to fall short of fulfilling that role. At a minimum, the outcome here solidified New York businessman Donald Trump as the front-runner for the nomination, with his two leading rivals […] Read more »