Virginia: The Pivotal Primary?

In November 2016, Virginia will easily be one of the most-watched states in the general election contest. The Old Dominion’s 2008 and 2012 presidential vote most closely matched the national popular vote, and it has become a pivotal swing state in a polarized country that doesn’t have many of them. […] Read more »

Nevada aside, Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders trail among U.S. Latinos

If Hispanic voters in Nevada are representative of the rest of the country, the most popular candidate with Hispanic Democrats is Bernie Sanders and the most popular Republican is Donald Trump. When those numbers, from entrance poll data reported by CNN, first came to light, they were met with a […] Read more »

Republicans’ Last-Ditch Hope To Stop Donald Trump

If it’s not obvious by now, a ship called the Republican Party is perilously close to being hijacked by a populist pirate named Donald Trump. At the last three ports of call — New Hampshire, South Carolina and Nevada — Trump overpowered his rivals, even capturing all 50 of the […] Read more »

Why Donald Trump has a 90 percent chance of winning the Republican nomination

New Hampshire, South Carolina and now Nevada: the evidence is mounting that Donald Trump will be the Republican presidential nominee. Those who doubt a Trump victory believe that Republican voters will at some point come to their senses, while others see a narrowing field as one that favors Trump’s competition. […] Read more »

How ‘Values Voters’ Became ‘Nostalgia Voters’

The South Carolina Republican primary results present long-time observers of white evangelical Protestants’ political behavior with a conundrum. How did Donald Trump—a twice-divorced, casino-owning New Yorker who curses during campaign speeches and is prone to church-related gaffes such as accidentally putting cash into the communion plate—win in this southern state […] Read more »