A few words about all of these polls on the presidential race in Nevada: Don’t believe them. Sound familiar? Yes, I was telling you the same thing two years ago when every poll (almost) showed Sharron Angle would be the next U.S. senator from Nevada. That didn’t happen, and all […] Read more »
Biden, Ryan Face the ‘Saturday Night Live’ Test
Romney campaign pollster Neil Newhouse talks to Gerald F. Seib, of the Wall Street Journal, about the vice-presidential debate and the state of the race. Read more »
Five myths about political polls
When Mitt Romney was trailing in public polls before the first presidential debate — particularly in swing states — his campaign manager was dismissive, contending that, according to his camp’s superior internal data, the race was “inside the margin of error.” After the debate, when Romney grabbed the advantage in […] Read more »
Are women jumping off the Obama train?
A Pew poll out earlier this week that caused Democrats nine kinds of heartburn included the startling suggestion that women were hopping off the Obama train faster than you could say “woman’s right to choose.” [cont.] Melinda Henneberger, Washington Post Read more »
A Bounce for Romney, but Just How High?
Polling since the debate in Denver last week has generally been very strong for Mitt Romney. … A troubling sign for Mr. Romney, however, is that although he has made gains in state polls, he does not seem to have taken the lead in very many of them. … How […] Read more »
Political Veterans: A ‘Real’ and ‘Testy’ Debate
We asked two political veterans for their reactions to the Joe Biden-Paul Ryan vice-presidential debate, and here they provide their analysis of who did best on which topics and who had a stronger overall performance. The contributors are Mark S. Mellman, Democratic pollster and Mellman Group president, and David Winston, […] Read more »