Americans who watched the third presidential debate on Oct. 22 are significantly more likely to say Barack Obama did a better job than Mitt Romney, by 56% to 33%. This is the second debate win for Obama. Romney overwhelmingly was seen as the winner of the first debate. … As […] Read more »
Polls: Tightening Relationship Between WH, Senate Battles
New polling out this week underscores the tightening relationship between the state of the presidential race and the battle for control of the Senate. … In recent years, it’s become routine for competitive candidates in Senate races to win over 80 percent of the voters who back their party’s presidential […] Read more »
2012 voters: The deepest racial split since ’88
The 2012 election is shaping up to be more polarized along racial lines than any presidential contest since 1988, with President Obama lagging behind Republican Mitt Romney among white voters by 21 percentage points, a steep drop in support from four years ago. As he did in 2008, Obama gets […] Read more »
In Polls, Romney’s Momentum Seems to Have Stopped
… Mr. Romney clearly gained ground in the polls in the week or two after the Denver debate, putting himself in a much stronger overall position in the race. However, it seems that he is no longer doing so. [cont.] Nate Silver, FiveThirtyEight (NYT) Read more »
Romney erases Obama advantage among women while Obama gains ground with men
What gender gap? Less than two weeks out from Election Day, Republican Mitt Romney has erased President Barack Obama’s 16-point advantage among women, a new Associated Press-GfK poll shows. And the president, in turn, has largely eliminated Romney’s edge among men. [cont.] AP Read more »
Obama’s Edge: The Ground Game That Could Put Him Over the Top
… Four years ago, Barack Obama built the largest grassroots organization in the history of American politics. After the election, he never stopped building, and the current operation, six years in the making, makes 2008 look like “amateur ball,” in the words of Obama’s national field director Jeremy Bird. Republicans […] Read more »