Donald Trump’s political views, in the eyes of U.S. registered voters, are the least conservative of GOP presidential candidates in recent history. About six in 10 registered voters have viewed recent Republican nominees as conservative or very conservative, with George W. Bush’s 68% in 2004 the highest. CONT. Justin McCarthy, […] Read more »
Trump Underperforms Romney Among Every Group — WSJ/NBC News Poll
To win in November, obviously, Donald Trump will have to rack up stronger margins over his opponent than Mitt Romney did in 2012. And for Hillary Clinton to win, she can’t do significantly worse than Barack Obama did. So what’s keeping this race tight? Both candidates, in different ways, are […] Read more »
Evangelicals Rally to Trump, Religious ‘Nones’ Back Clinton
Evangelical voters are rallying strongly in favor of Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump. Indeed, the latest Pew Research Center survey finds that despite the professed wariness toward Trump among many high-profile evangelical Christian leaders, evangelicals as a whole are, if anything, even more strongly supportive of Trump than they were […] Read more »
Trump Isn’t Winning Enough White Voters
… One big reason Trump is trailing — by an average of 4 to 6 percentage points, depending on which aggregator you use — is because, despite all the bluster, he isn’t doing any better than Romney did among white voters. … To win, Trump would need to improve on […] Read more »
GOP says no last-minute candidates like Paul Ryan
While Republican Party insiders angle for a last-minute alternative to Donald Trump, GOP voters are warning against convention deals that seem to go against the will of the rank and file. A majority of Republican voters want Trump to get their presidential nomination if he’s ahead but short of a […] Read more »
Civil War in the G.O.P.
On Thursday, Mitt Romney fired the first shot in the Republican civil war. In a speech at the University of Utah, Romney denounced Donald Trump as a “phony” and a “fraud” with “neither the temperament nor the judgment to be President.” We wondered whether Romney’s attack would have any impact […] Read more »