The 2012 presidential election could be effectively settled shortly after 8 p.m. Eastern Standard Time, when all polls will have closed in three of the biggest battleground states: Florida, Virginia and Ohio. Quick projections of a sweep of these competitive states by either President Barack Obama or Republican Mitt Romney […] Read more »
Exit polling goes the way of changing media trends
TV networks are marshaling a multimillion-dollar exit poll for Election Day, but they head into Tuesday knowing they may not be able to declare a winner in the biggest race: the presidency. Exit polls – surveys of people who have already voted — have been narrowed this year to focus […] Read more »
Polls give Obama edge over Romney, but it’s too close to call
… National polling showed late voter movement toward Obama, raising the possibility that the election might not drag out for days and weeks of wrangling over disputed ballots, as some feared. The president continued to maintain a slight edge in the vast majority of swing-state opinion polls, though his advantage […] Read more »
Late Poll Gains for Obama Leave Romney With Longer Odds
Mitt Romney has always had difficulty drawing a winning Electoral College hand. Even during his best period of polling, in the week or two after the first presidential debate in Denver, he never quite pulled ahead in the polling averages in Ohio and other states that would allow him to […] Read more »
A tie for Obama and Romney in nation’s first results
The first presidential election results are in – and it’s a tie. President Barack Obama and his Republican rival, Mitt Romney, each received five votes in Dixville Notch, New Hampshire. [cont.] Ed Payne , CNN Read more »
I Can Read Faces! My Wager On The Election Results
On the eve of Election Day, I am a happy man. Why is this, you ask? Because the fundamentals-based forecasts issued by almost a dozen political scientists before Labor Day are – in the aggregate – looking remarkably prescient. [cont.] Matthew Dickinson, Middlebury College Read more »