Tuesday’s results were not unexpected, but that doesn’t mean they shouldn’t send shock waves through the political establishment. The president was re-elected at the same time Democrats retained the Senate and Republicans continued to hold the House, but the elections seem to raise more questions about the future for the […] Read more »
Polling, Likely Voters, and the Law of the Commons
… We would always like to make a final poll estimate that is exactly on target with the final popular vote percentage for both candidates. That is the goal. But our estimate (and almost all other national polls at the end), gave a broadly accurate picture of what was, in […] Read more »
Maps of the 2012 US presidential election results
Most of us are, by now, familiar with the maps the TV channels and web sites use to show the results of presidential elections. … The states are colored red or blue to indicate whether a majority of their voters voted for the Republican candidate, Mitt Romney, or the Democratic […] Read more »
White voter decline in 2012: the conundrum behind the cliche
… You’ve probably heard a demographic story like the one I’m about to tell you regarding the 2012 elections. President Obama won re-election by taking advantage of an expansion of the Latino portion of the electorate. In the network exit polls, Latinos grew their percentage of the electorate from 8.4% […] Read more »
In Hindsight, Those Presidential Polls Looked Just Fine
For as much criticism as pollsters endured in the run-up to Election Day, a look back shows many of them hit very close to the bull’s-eye for the presidential race — but some did better than others. [cont.] Scott Neuman, NPR Read more »
Republican Party begins election review to find out what went wrong
Top Republican officials, stunned by the extent of their election losses Tuesday night, have begun an exhaustive review to figure out what went so wrong and how to fix it. … Officials told The Washington Post that they’re planning a series of voter-based polls and focus groups, meetings with constituency […] Read more »