Here’s what’s supposed to be happening: After losing two presidential elections, Republicans are supposed to be re-evaluating what their party stands for. Are they out of line with mainstream America? Does the party need to change? The answer is yes. So the party moves to the center and searches for […] Read more »
A mandate to help the middle class
The focus in Washington has now shifted to the fiscal cliff, with the White House and Congress, particularly the House Republicans, staking out negotiating positions on the expiring Bush tax cuts and the looming budget sequester. The White House’s firm opening salvo—and House Speaker John Boehner’s grudging admission that he […] Read more »
Pennsylvania Could Be a Path Forward for G.O.P.
… Pennsylvania alone would not have won the election for Mr. Romney. But if the national climate had been slightly better for him over all, he might have won Ohio and Florida. Winning Pennsylvania as well would have given Mr. Romney the Electoral College, even if he had lost Colorado, […] Read more »
Republicans face unexpected challenges in coastal South amid shrinking white vote
… Obama won Virginia and Florida and narrowly missed victory in North Carolina. But he also polled as well in Georgia as any Democrat since Jimmy Carter, grabbed 44 percent of the vote in deep-red South Carolina and just under that in Mississippi — despite doing no substantive campaigning in […] Read more »
Gallup’s 2012 election polling debacle: what went wrong?
Gallup was very wrong. Their final poll had Mitt Romney defeating President Obama by 1 percentage point, after giving Romney a lead as high as 7 pt during the final month of the campaign. It seems now their final poll could end up being nearly 5 pt off the mark. […] Read more »
Pollsters reassess their methods after 2012 election miscalculations
Polling outlets that were hammered ceaselessly by both campaigns throughout the campaign cycle are reassessing their methods in the wake of President Obama’s convincing election victory. “We constantly review and tweak some of the things we do and if the data bears it out, we make changes,” Gallup Editor-in-Chief Frank […] Read more »