… The Obama campaign combined three levels of data to peg the state of the race against Mitt Romney. The campaign conducted aggregated battleground polls for message testing, individual state tracking polls by multiple pollsters to understand where the campaign was standing in each state, and individual state parallel surveys […] Read more »
Exclusive: The Internal Polls That Made Mitt Romney Think He’d Win
It’s no secret that the Romney campaign believed it was headed for victory on Election Day. … Less well-known, however, are the details of the polls that led Romney to believe he was so close to the presidency. Which other swing states did Romney believe he was leading in, and […] Read more »
The One Pollster Republicans Should Listen To
It’s interesting to see Republicans offer different interpretations of this year’s elections. As in most things, where you stand depends on where you sit. … Republican pollster Glen Bolger of Public Opinion Strategies pointed out some of this election’s paradoxes in a Nov. 26 post on his firm’s blog. Bolger […] Read more »
Implications of the 2012 Election for Health Care — The Voters’ Perspective
… Obama’s narrow win (by 2.8 percentage points) in the popular vote will keep health-policy decisions both partisan and contentious. But the ultimate direction will reflect the health care views of the President, his party, and the people who voted for them. … Obama voters were three times as likely […] Read more »
Asian Americans Voted Democrat: We Should Not Be Surprised
… What seems to have caught some pundits by surprise was the finding by the National Election Pool that 73% of Asian Americans voted for Obama, second only to African Americans (93%), and slightly higher than Latino support at 71%. This high level of Asian American support for Obama on […] Read more »
The (Continued) Politics of Racial Resentment
… In remarks that dovetail Romney’s, VP nominee Paul Ryan indicated that urban, minority turnout was to blame for their loss. These comments reflect a broader theme: that Obama did not understand the problems of white Americans, and primarily focused his policies on the needs or demands of racial minorities. […] Read more »