… Private conversations with a half-dozen of the smartest Democratic political thinkers — all of whom have played at the highest levels of national campaigns, are genuine Obama backers, and almost never are consulted by the campaign — reveal a consensus of advice for the president: Stop trying to tell […] Read more »
The Psychological State of Iowa
… In every calculation of how the candidates get to 270 electoral votes, Iowa is listed as a battleground state. But it’s also a swing state. States like Pennsylvania and North Carolina will be contested by both sides, but the competition there will be more about turning out each party’s […] Read more »
Race Matters: Why Gallup Poll Finds Less Support For President Obama
… Over the past few years, however, polling junkies have noticed something curious: Gallup’s polls have produced results that appear slightly but consistently more negative to President Obama than those produced by other firms. The Huffington Post has conducted an independent analysis that confirms the phenomenon and points to a […] Read more »
Just Like the Gipper
In 1984, Ronald Reagan won the most decisive presidential landslide of the past three decades. It’s a measure of the challenge facing Republicans that to beat Barack Obama, even narrowly, Mitt Romney may need to equal Reagan’s towering performance in one key respect. It’s a measure of the challenge facing […] Read more »
Polls haven’t budged — campaign looks like trench warfare
Since mid-April, the average price for a gallon of regular gas has dropped 40 cents, President Obama has announced support for same-sex marriage, government statisticians have delivered two disappointing monthly jobs reports, tensions have ebbed and flowed with Iran and Mitt Romney has formally clinched the Republican presidential nomination. And […] Read more »
Obama’s Performance, Economy Foremost in Voters’ Minds
President Obama’s job performance and the economy are uppermost in Americans’ minds when they are asked to say why they are voting for their preferred candidate in the coming presidential election. About a third of Obama voters say he is doing a good job and deserves another term, while nearly […] Read more »