Voters in 12 key presidential election swing states have already been exposed to a large dose of campaign advertising, with 82% reporting having seen a campaign ad on television, compared with 62% of non-swing-state voters. … For the most part, swing-state voters say the ads they have seen generally reinforce […] Read more »
Campaigns Play The Numbers To Tip Election Favor
… The more non-white voters the Obama campaign can turn out, the more white voters he can afford to lose. In key battleground states the reverse is true for Romney, says Matt Barretto with the polling firm Latino Decisions. “So if you take a Nevada, Latinos could be anywhere as […] Read more »
The Hollowing Out
… The issue of the disappearing middle is not new, but credible economists have added a more threatening twist to the argument: the possibility that a well-functioning, efficient modern market economy, driven by exponential growth in the rate of technological innovation, can simultaneously produce economic growth and eliminate millions of […] Read more »
An economics of national pride
… Typically, Democrats tie themselves up in strategic knots debating whether their future lies in the center or on the left. … Two moderate Colorado Democrats who won in the face of the 2010 Republican tide see a way out of this dilemma. The key to a philosophically coherent cross-class coalition, […] Read more »
Swing states poll: Amid barrage of ads, Obama has edge
… In a new USA TODAY/Gallup Poll of swing states, an overwhelming majority of voters remember seeing campaign ads over the past month; most voters in other states say they haven’t. In the battlegrounds, one in 12 say the commercials have changed their minds about President Obama or Republican Mitt […] Read more »
Electoral Map Doesn’t Always Lead Straight to White House
“If you get the votes,” Stu Spencer advised a persistent young reporter during the 1980 U.S. presidential campaign, “the map will follow.” Spencer, the top political strategist for Ronald Reagan and one of the best ever to ply the trade, was suggesting that the fixation on the Electoral College and […] Read more »