These 12 battleground U.S. Senate races take place in a country deeply discontented with the state of the country, all national leaders, and political parties. With 10 of 12 seats held by Democrats but won by Romney by 8 points in 2012, this will be a competitive year to be […] Read more »
Gallup seeks fixes after 2012 miss
Eighteen months after the Gallup Organization incorrectly showed Mitt Romney leading President Barack Obama on the eve of the 2012 presidential election, the legendary but embattled polling firm unveiled additional research aimed at fine-tuning their methodology before the 2016 campaign. Gallup conducted polls last year in New Jersey and Virginia […] Read more »
The Minimal Class Divide in American Politics
How deep is the class divide in American politics today? According to some scholars and pundits, it is very deep indeed. In a recent post on the Washington Post’s Monkey Cage blog, Larry Bartels of Vanderbilt University, the author of Unequal Democracy and a highly regarded public opinion scholar, presented […] Read more »
The Media and the 2012 Election: Taking the ‘Fun’ Out of the Fundamentals?
Although the next presidential election is more than two years away, pundits are already trying to parse the meaning of polling data even though trial heats polls this far in advance of the election are practically worthless. The same goes for the recently concluded Conservative Political Action Conference straw poll […] Read more »
Peril of Ignoring Change
According to the Census Bureau, for the first time in more than a century, the annual number of deaths among white Americans exceeded the number of births. Add to that the facts that Asians are now the fastest-growing minority in the U.S., and a majority of American children younger than […] Read more »
Americans’ Views of Romney Little Changed Since Election
More than a year after his unsuccessful presidential bid, 47% of Americans view Mitt Romney favorably. This is down slightly from the 50% favorability rating he had just after losing the election, but suggests Americans’ views of the former Massachusetts governor haven’t fundamentally changed. CONT. Justin McCarthy, Gallup Read more »