Former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney accomplished one big thing last week in Tampa: the Republican National Convention rallied a once-wary GOP base back to his candidacy. But the immediate effect on the broader electorate was negligible, according to a new Washington Post-ABC News poll. [cont.] Jon Cohen and Scott Clement, […] Read more »
Can Obama Take Advantage of Coming Last?
Here we sit in the interval between the two conventions (as I write this Tuesday), with no sign of a significant change in the horse-race positioning — yet. … And we know from history that this is unusual. We usually do see a change in the horse race after the […] Read more »
Did Romney get a convention bounce?
It’s the question everyone’s asking: Did Mitt Romney get a bounce out of last week’s Republican National Convention in Tampa, Florida? According to a new national poll released Tuesday, just before the start of the Democratic convention, the GOP presidential nominee appears to have received a one-point convention bounce, normal […] Read more »
Romney Gets No Bounce From Last Week’s GOP Convention
Mitt Romney received no bounce from last week’s Republican National Convention, as the 46% of registered voters who supported him in Aug. 31-Sept. 3 Daily tracking is essentially the same as the 47% who preferred him in Aug. 24-27 tracking, the four days preceding the convention. The lack of a […] Read more »
The Big Things That Obama Can Get Done at His Convention
… The reason why we think it is important to have a good convention is that the real economy is so difficult that it gives Romney and the Republicans an audience on spending and budgets, even when the country views them with disdain. … So, we just should not underestimate […] Read more »
Why the Sun Belt Is Sunnier for Democrats
… For Obama, holding the Sun Belt beachheads that he established in 2008 looms as one of the most formidable challenges of 2012. With the emergence of these Sun Belt battlegrounds, the competition for an Electoral College majority now revolves around two distinct poles: the traditional Rust Belt behemoths of […] Read more »