… Efforts to use the conventions to change the minds of those who are voting for the opposite party’s candidate present a real challenge, given that a lot of those people simply aren’t watching. That doesn’t mean that the opponent’s people don’t pick up some news of the convention through […] Read more »
Obama Is Bad or Good for Markets in Poll Showing Global Division
Global investors are souring on President Barack Obama while still expecting him to be re- elected in November. By a margin of 46 percent to 39 percent, investors say Obama’s re-election would be bad for U.S. financial markets, according to a quarterly Bloomberg Global Poll conducted on Sept. 4. … […] Read more »
The President’s Fountain of Youth Is Drying Up
… Why does Mr. Obama dramatically trail his 2008 performance among younger voters? … Mr. Obama’s biggest problem with millennials is almost certainly his failure to reignite the economy. Robust growth is needed to create the new jobs they need. [cont.] Karl Rove, Wall Street Journal Read more »
On Race, Obama Treads With Caution
Is Mitt Romney playing the race card on welfare reform? It was a softball question for three Democratic pollsters sitting on a National Journal panel hours before the Democratic National Convention opened Tuesday. “Yes,” replied Celinda Lake. “Yes,” said Margie Omero. “Yes,” echoed John Anzalone. But for Joel Benenson, President […] Read more »
The Simple Case for Why Obama Is the Favorite
… [O]ur forecast has moved toward Barack Obama over the past several days. It now gives him about a three-in-four chance of winning the Electoral College on Nov. 6. I’ll explain a little bit more about how the model comes to that conclusion in a moment, but the intuition behind […] Read more »
Did Mitt Romney get a bounce in the polls out of the RNC?
The Republican National Convention has come and gone. Besides wondering whether Invisible Obama could be a metal, plastic or wooden chair, it has left us with the bigger question of whether or not Mitt Romney has received a bounce thanks to the convention. [cont.] Harry Enten, The Guardian Read more »