Two high-profile but vaguely worded apologies have dominated the news of late. … Will these carefully worded comments absolve these high-profile figures in the minds of the American public? A study published earlier this year suggests it’s unlikely, although Lochte might fare slightly better than Trump. CONT. Tom Jacobs, Pacific […] Read more »
Clinton is more optimistic than Trump. But optimism doesn’t predict winners anymore.
… I examined Clinton’s and Trump’s convention speeches using a technique I’ve applied to almost every major-party nominee’s acceptance address going back to 1900, and I found that Clinton is indeed more optimistic than Trump by most measures. But Democrats may want to temper their optimism about that result. The […] Read more »
Trump is the first modern Republican to win the nomination based on racial prejudice
… Donald Trump’s presidential campaign effectively bucked what the political scientists Donald Kinder and Lynn Sanders adroitly termed the Republican Party’s electoral temptation of race — using implicit racial appeals to win over racially conservative voters without appearing overtly racist. Trump’s play instead was to make several explicitly hostile statements […] Read more »
How progressive was Hillary Clinton’s acceptance speech?
Just hours before Hillary Clinton delivered her speech accepting the Democratic nomination for President at the Party’s Convention, on Thursday night, two veterans of Bill Clinton’s Administration—the pollster Stan Greenberg and the economist Joseph E. Stiglitz—appeared at an event organized by the Roosevelt Institute, a liberal think tank. The title […] Read more »
Creating a Mandate to ‘Rewrite the Rules’ of the Economy
As the two party conventions were starting, Donald Trump enjoyed about a 4-point advantage on the economy and that is what keeps him in the race to November. According to a new Democracy Corps survey on behalf of the Roosevelt Institute, the election and the battle for the economy will […] Read more »
And Then There Was Trump
How do you deal with an opponent immune to the truth, whose appeal is atavistic rather than rational? How do you pick off enough of his constituents and prevent him from making inroads into yours? In Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton and her Democratic allies face a candidate for whom there […] Read more »