Two years ago, the presidential election hinged in large part on a rightward shift among working-class whites who deserted Democrats. Tuesday’s House election may turn on an equally significant and opposite force: a generational break with the Republican Party among educated, wealthier whites — especially women — who like the […] Read more »
Nearly 4 In 5 Voters Concerned Incivility Will Lead To Violence
Roughly 80 percent of voters say they are concerned that the negative tone and lack of civility in Washington will lead to violence or acts of terror, according to a new NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist poll conducted after the deadly shooting at a Pittsburgh synagogue. But they are divided on who is […] Read more »
Where some see tragedy in toxic politics, Trump sees opportunity
Tragedy and terror have dominated the last 72 hours in American politics. On Friday, authorities charged Caesar Sayoc of sending more than a dozen pipe bomb packages targeted at prominent Democrats. On Saturday, an anti-Semitic gunman killed 11 at a synagogue in Pittsburgh. And both appear to be products of […] Read more »
Trump-Driven Polarization Reflects Divergent Views of America’s Future
Days before the 2018 midterm elections, a wide-ranging new survey from PRRI finds that partisans see two entirely different American futures. The survey shows Republicans’ vision for the country’s future is increasingly distant from the vision largely shared by Democrats and independents. And in the religious landscape, white evangelicals’ vision […] Read more »
Making Sense of Midterm-Mania
Is 2018 really “The Year of Women”? Does early voting turnout matter? Is this the most important election of our lifetime? Bob speaks with Clare Malone, senior political writer for FiveThirtyEight, who breaks down the numbers, myths, and exaggerations making their way into the national conversation ahead of the midterms. […] Read more »
Authoritarian Warning Survey: Ratings worsening on all six dimensions of democratic performance
Our expert survey results in August and September 2018 demonstrate increased threat levels compared to July, with ratings worsening on all six dimensions of democratic performance. This represents a reversal from the improving condition from June to July 2018. Experts rate a 16.5% chance of democratic breakdown in the U.S. […] Read more »