Conventions Can Boost the Incumbent. Did It Work This Time?

The last two presidential re-election campaigns followed a similar playbook: define the opposition early on the most important issue, emphasize a few cultural wedge issues to rally the base while appealing to a few swing voters, and reinvigorate supporters at the convention. It was enough for George W. Bush in […] Read more »

The Democratic Convention’s Big Blind Spot

… Biden projected passion, energy, and solidity in remarks that more closely resembled a grave presidential address from the Oval Office than the typical raucous convention speech. In his manner as much as his words, Biden offered a contrast to Trump’s belligerent volatility—and to the GOP’s portrayal of him as […] Read more »

Why Trump’s Blunt Appeals to Suburban Voters May Not Work

President Trump’s latest campaign ads warn of left-wing mobs destroying American cities. His recent White House comments have depicted a rampage of violence and a “radical movement” to dissolve the police. His Twitter feed has sounded alarms over an Obama-era fair housing rule he has framed as a threat to […] Read more »

Trump plays on fears in play for the suburbs

President Donald Trump this week sent a message to “The Suburban Housewives of America,” and in a single tweet summed up his strategy for shoring up support in communities critical to his reelection chances: Scare them. “Biden will destroy your neighborhood and your American Dream. I will preserve it, and […] Read more »

Down In The Polls, Trump Pitches Fear: ‘They Want To Destroy Our Suburbs’

President Trump has a message for suburban voters. And it’s not a subtle one. “They want to destroy our suburbs,” Trump recently warned in a call with supporters. “People have worked all their lives to get into a community, and now they’re going to watch it go to hell,” he […] Read more »

More voters acknowledge symptoms of racism but disagree about its causes

Amid a moment of national reckoning on racial issues and the mourning of one of the country’s most revered civil rights leaders, new numbers from the NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll show that American voters have become significantly more aware of racial discrimination and more sympathetic to those protesting to […] Read more »