The network exit poll finds 80 percent of white evangelical or born-again Christians supported Roy Moore, 10 points lower than the share of this group that backed Mitt Romney in 2012. The shift is statistically significant and would have been enough to overcome Jones’s 1.5 percentage-point victory margin. CONT. Scott […] Read more »
The Kubler Ross Politics of 2017
In just one year, we’ve seen a remarkable shift in political fortunes for the party in power. They have lost high profile races in a light blue state (Virginia) and a dark red one (Alabama). They have failed, thus far, to pass any meaningful legislation, despite having total control of […] Read more »
Once Unthinkable, Senate Looks Like a Tossup in 2018
At this time last year, the Democratic path to Senate control seemed impossible: Hold all of the Democratic seats, flip Arizona and Nevada, then hope for a miracle. The Democrats got the political version of a miracle on Tuesday. Doug Jones’s victory in Alabama means Democrats have accomplished the most […] Read more »
The Politics of #HimToo
The issue of sexual misconduct has emerged as a centerpiece of Democratic strategy for taking on President Trump and the Republican Party. That strategy paid off on Tuesday with the defeat of Roy Moore. Senator Kirsten Gillibrand’s decision to bring to center stage charges of sexual harassment leveled by more […] Read more »
Partisan Gerrymandering and the Outlook for the 2018 U.S. House Elections
There is a growing sense among political observers that the United States may be heading toward a wave election in 2018. … Despite these signs of an impending Democratic wave, however, many political experts believe that the way House district lines in many key states were drawn by Republicans prior […] Read more »
2018 looks like a Democratic wave
Republican Roy Moore was the most important reason that Democrat Doug Jones won Alabama’s U.S. Senate election on Tuesday. Moore was simply an atrocious candidate. This can be seen clearly in exit poll results showing that only 41 percent of voters in this Republican stronghold had a favorable opinion of […] Read more »