… The Republican Party has long been the party of both business and nativists. For most of its history, the party’s business wing has reined in the nativists. But aside from a few individual industries, businesses overall are less interested in open immigration — freeing Republican members of Congress to […] Read more »
The Senate Battlegrounds to Watch
Just about everyone who follows politics closely knows that while there may well be a Democratic wave building, the Republican-friendly Senate map is an imposing bulwark that may protect the GOP against all but the biggest of tsunamis. … So which states offer the best chances for each party to […] Read more »
Democrats are in the catbird’s seat in the 2018 midterms
Congressional Democrats, benefiting from President Donald Trump’s low approval ratings and historic trends working against the party in power, sit in the catbird seat in the battle for control, according to new House and Senate ratings from CNN. The House, in which Democrats need a 24-seat pickup to win the […] Read more »
Immigration backlash is coming from places least touched by immigration
The escalating struggle between the parties over immigration rests on a paradox. In the battle for control of both Congress and the White House, Republicans rely overwhelmingly on the places in the US that remain the least touched by immigration. Democrats depend primarily on the places with the most immigrants. […] Read more »
Are Republicans Ready to Join a Third Party?
Want to know what a lot of Republicans have been thinking about in the days leading up to Donald Trump’s first State of the Union address to a Republican-controlled Congress? A new party. … In a world in which Alabama voters elected a Democratic senator, all kinds of previously unimaginable […] Read more »
FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast: Which Version Of Trump’s Presidency Is Happening?
On the eve of President Trump’s first official State of the Union address, the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast checks in on how his administration is doing, and which of the 14 versions of Trump’s presidency that Nate outlined about a year ago look like they could still happen. The team also […] Read more »