As we get closer to November, I gain confidence that an electoral “wave” will develop the likes of 1946, 1994, 2006 and 2010. Unlike the elections in those years, however, I’m not sure a wave will necessarily mean the minority party will wrestle away control of the House. How is […] Read more »
Orange County Fights Turning Blue. And the Resistance Is Formidable.
California has dug in at the front lines of the resistance to President Trump, suing to overturn his environmental policies, passing legislation to hamstring his immigration enforcement and marching in mass demonstrations of defiance. Then there is Orange County, a stubborn redoubt of conservatism that keeps defying prognostications that 80 […] Read more »
Americans like Trump on the economy. They dislike Trump for being Trump.
… A new Fox News poll yields an approval chart that will look familiar. The overall approval number for Trump is at 45 percent, according to Fox, about where it has been since January. … After that question, though, Fox did something interesting: They asked people to say why they […] Read more »
House Ratings Changes: Democrats Breathe a California-Sized Sigh of Relief
Democrats have to be happy and relieved by the results of Tuesday’s primaries: they appear to have avoided getting “locked out” of California’s top-two primaries, advancing candidates to the November ballot in all of the seven GOP seats they’re targeting (although in several districts, they didn’t avert catastrophe by much). […] Read more »
America’s Seismic Political Shifts
The cover of the April 21 issue of The Economist asked, “What’s become of the Republican Party?” Inside, the article was headlined, “How the elephant got its Trump,” beginning with a quote from a speech that Sen. Jeff Flake made in March: “Never has a party abandoned, fled its principles […] Read more »
Fox News Poll: Democrats gain in congressional vote test
With five months until Election Day, Democrats hold the enthusiasm advantage — and that puts them ahead of Republicans in the congressional vote as well. A Fox News poll released Thursday finds 48 percent of voters favor the Democratic candidate in their congressional district and 39 percent the Republican. That […] Read more »