Political commentators and strategists write with some awe of President Trump’s outrageous, gutsy strategy of ginning up his base with one more attack on black athletes, one more crackdown on Central American mothers and children on the Mexican border, one more assault on Obamacare, one more tariff on imports. … […] Read more »
In Iowa, Republicans and Democrats fight for elusive independent voters, whoever they are
Abby Finkenauer says she’s running for Congress to represent hard-working Iowans who just want “enough money at the end of the week to send their kids to baseball and softball practice and buy a case of beer.” Rod Blum, the two-term Republican incumbent she hopes to unseat, is a self-made […] Read more »
From Harry Truman to Donald Trump: A long political realignment brought us to this disaster
As the 2018 midterm elections approach, most Americans still view Donald Trump as an exceptional, if not unique, figure in American politics. From his most fervent supporters to his severest critics, most agree on that. So does the overwhelming majority of the political commentariat, who repeatedly characterize him as anomalous. […] Read more »
‘Throw the bums out’ coalition changes shape in 2018
In every election there is always a group of disgruntled voters who want to “throw the bums out,” and poll numbers show they’re back in 2018. An examination of the data, however, suggests this year’s collection of angry voters looks different than it has in recent years – and it […] Read more »
Poll Hub: They’re at It, Again!
Perhaps, the great Yogi Berra said it best — It’s deja vu all over again! The lack of distinction between public opinion polls and forecasters in 2016 created a false aura of inevitability around Hillary Clinton. Two years later, pollsters witness emerging, untested polling methods that run the risk of […] Read more »
Has Trump Irreversibly Altered the GOP’s Foreign Policy?
In his sledgehammer assault against the cornerstone institutions of the Western alliance, Donald Trump is replaying one of the defining confrontations in the Republican Party’s history. Only this time, the outcome is being reversed—with potentially tumultuous implications for both the GOP and the future of American foreign policy. Trump is […] Read more »