Today we’re talking about the economy. The two big questions: 1.) Everyone says the economy is doing great. Objectively, is that true? And 2.) If it is true, why aren’t the Republicans and President better positioned going into the midterms? CONT. Amy Walter, The Takeaway Read more »
2018 Targets in Trump’s GOP
The Trump presidency has created serious opportunities for agile progressives to target and deliver messages to a fractured and demoralized GOP. This is the conclusion of Democracy Corps’ new national online message test of 1,200 Republican registered voters, numerous Catalist voterfile matched phone surveys, and focus groups among the factions […] Read more »
A Grim Fall Awaits GOP
For over six months this column has suggested that this election amounts to a Democratic tidal wave crashing against a Republican seawall—the question is which will be stronger. At Labor Day, the traditional beginning of the general-election-campaign season, that continues to be the case, though how that dynamic manifests itself […] Read more »
Less than 1 in 5 trust Trump to tell the truth
A national USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times poll finds voters are more likely to back Democrats in their district’s election for the United States House of Representatives, giving Democrats an 8 percentage point advantage over Republicans. … Just under 20 percent of the public nationwide considers Trump as a source of […] Read more »
NBC/Marist poll: It’s a neck-and-neck Senate race in Tennessee
Democrat Phil Bredesen and Republican Marsha Blackburn are running neck and neck in Tennessee’s Senate contest, despite the state’s deep-red hue, according to a new NBC News/Marist poll of Tennessee. Bredesen, the state’s former governor, gets support from 48 percent of likely voters, while Blackburn, who is a current member […] Read more »
A Back-of-the-Envelope Look at How the House Could Flip
Count the House races, and you’ll get a pretty good idea of whether the House will flip in the fall. No, you can’t be entirely certain how an individual toss-up contest is going to turn out in November. But you can arrive at a ballpark assessment of House changes right […] Read more »