One big question looms over the fight for control of Congress: Will strong Democratic candidates ride a blue wave to victories on Nov. 6 in the long list of Republican-leaning areas they’ve put into play? Or will partisan polarization carry Republicans to a closer than expected midterm result? The fight […] Read more »
An Upset That Nobody Sees Coming Could Determine Control Of The House
… Individual House races are fairly hard to predict. They don’t get all that much polling. Sometimes the candidates make a big difference, and sometimes they don’t. There will be lots of idiosyncratic and even “surprising” demographic patterns that emerge on Nov. 6, but the whole reason they’ll be surprises […] Read more »
Uncertainty over a blue wave: NBC News finds Democratic and GOP voter registrations at same level as past election cycles
Less than a month from Election Day, both parties have been focused on registering as many voters as possible and competing to see which holds the advantage in turning out their base. The turnout battle is the most important fight in winning control of Congress. … While determining turnout prior […] Read more »
A Tale of Two Increasingly Divergent Elections
It turns out that the bitter fight over Brett Kavanaugh’s Supreme Court nomination was what I call a color-enhancement event—it made the reds redder and the blues bluer. The old cliché about partisans coming home before an election is true, but the reality for Democrats was that this time, they […] Read more »
Oregon Governor: A Blue State Lands in Toss Up
Oregon is a reliably blue state, at least when it comes to races for President, Governor and the U.S. Senate. It’s surprising then that in a year in which the political landscape favors Democrats, the party is sweating the Governor’s race as Democratic Gov. Kate Brown seeks to win a […] Read more »
CNN poll: Cruz leads O’Rourke with three weeks to go
Texas Republican Sen. Ted Cruz appears well-positioned for re-election over his Democratic challenger Rep. Beto O’Rourke, topping him 52% to 45% among likely voters, a new CNN poll conducted by SSRS finds. CONT. Jennifer Agiesta, CNN Read more »