Americans’ expectations about the effect that Democrats’ newly won control of the U.S. House will have on the country are mixed, similar to their outlook after Republicans retook control of the House in 2010. More think the country will be better off as a result of Democrats’ taking control (39%) […] Read more »
Mississippi Senate Special: It’s All About Turnout
Lost amid recounts in Florida, uncertainty in Georgia and a handful of uncalled House races is the special election run-off in Mississippi to fill the remainder of former Republican U.S. Sen. Thad Cochran’s term. Playing in the background, though, is a multi-million-dollar battle for the last Senate seat on the […] Read more »
Trump’s Base Isn’t Enough
There shouldn’t be much question about whether 2018 was a wave election. Of course it was a wave. You could endlessly debate the wave’s magnitude, depending on how much you focus on the number of votes versus the number of seats, the House versus the Senate versus governorships, and so […] Read more »
Key Factors That Shaped 2018… And A Brief Look Ahead
We have just witnessed a historic and consequential midterm election. Somewhere between 20 to 25 million more people will have voted than in any midterm in our country’s history, the highest percentage of eligible voters participating in over a century. A new high said their vote was to either support […] Read more »
A Mississippi Senate Flip? Probably Not
Alabama Democrat Doug Jones demonstrated last year that candidates matter and that on the rarest occasions — such as when the majority party’s nominee is accused of sexual misconduct by many women — voters in federal races veer from their partisan loyalties. But Jones’s win was the exception, not the […] Read more »
How 2018 reframed the Democrats’ biggest choice for 2020
Though the 2018 election opened intriguing opportunities in the Sun Belt, new data suggest the shortest path back to the White House for Democrats may be through the three Rust Belt swing states that President Donald Trump dislodged from the “blue wall” two years ago. The party will have to […] Read more »