… Election outcomes in America have become increasingly correlated with population density, a pattern that also appears in other industrialized countries. Rural areas are now reliably Republican, urban areas overwhelmingly Democratic. The suburbs are lodged in between, with many economically conservative but socially liberal voters who have a foot in […] Read more »
Cindy Hyde-Smith still favored in Mississippi Senate runoff despite controversies
The Mississippi Senate runoff was expected to be a quiet finale to the 2018 election season but instead has turned into a nationally watched affair. Republican Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith’s comments about attending a “public hanging,” along with a series of other controversies, have led to critical media coverage and several […] Read more »
‘Never Trump’ Republicans went Democrat in 2018. Are they gone for good?
Kristin Olsen, who until 2016 led the Republican caucus in California’s state assembly, surveyed the wreckage of the recent midterms in her state and came to a bitter conclusion: “The Grand Old Party is dead,” she wrote in an op-ed. Olsen, 44, told NBC News that Republicans had already struggled […] Read more »
The race to control the Senate in 2020 has already started
Massive fundraising in Maine. A countdown clock in Alabama. Calls and texts encouraging potential challengers in Colorado. Just a few weeks after 2018’s Election Day, the signs are clear: the 2020 Senate campaigns are already underway. Democrats start 2020 in a solid position, though they remain in the minority in […] Read more »
Was it a wave election? Depends on your data set
As the final 2018 election results trickle in, analysts and social media commentators have turned their attention to assessing the damage. Namely, was 2018 a “wave” election or not. Both sides of the “wave or no wave” debate have dug into their positions and both have some data to use […] Read more »
Swinging Suburban Women
For a host of reasons, this was a Year of the Woman in American life. There was an all-time record 234 women running for Congress, 182 Democratic women and 52 Republican women. There will be 88 new Members in the House of Representatives, 35 of them are women. More women […] Read more »