… Is the president in danger of a serious challenge for the 2020 Republican presidential nomination? Right now, I don’t think Trump has too much to worry about. But there are two scenarios in which a primary challenger against Trump would be more viable than they are now — and […] Read more »
Voters blame Trump, GOP for shutdown
President Donald Trump faces a tall task in his Oval Office address on Tuesday night: convincing voters outside of his political base that there is an urgent crisis at the nation’s southern border, that a wall along the border is necessary to solve it, and it’s worth a government shutdown […] Read more »
This is why Republicans and Democrats aren’t talking to each other in Washington
The geographic and demographic separation between the two political parties, and the two Americas, has reached a new peak in the House of Representatives. In the 116th Congress sworn in last week, Republicans and Democrats now control districts that represent virtual mirror images of each other across a wide range […] Read more »
U.S. Still Leans Conservative, but Liberals Keep Recent Gains
Americans’ assessment of their political ideology was unchanged in 2018 compared with the year prior when 35% on average described themselves as conservative, 35% as moderate and 26% as liberal. CONT. Lydia Saad, Gallup Read more »
Presidential Primary Debates Can Make — And Break — A Campaign
It might sound strange, but presidential primary debates are arguably more important than general election debates. Primary voters have weak initial preferences and can vacillate among candidates, so they can be heavily influenced by events like debates. Primary debates do not attract nearly as many eyeballs as general election debates, […] Read more »
Americans Continue to Embrace Political Independence
Significantly more U.S. adults continued to identify as political independents (42%) in 2018 than as either Democrats (30%) or Republicans (26%). … Most independents do express a party leaning when probed, and when those leanings are taken into account, 47% of Americans on average in 2018 were Democratic identifiers or […] Read more »