A palpable nervousness is taking hold among Republicans as they look ahead to the 2020 elections, and the word “firewall” is coming up frequently in the same sentence as “Senate.” Republicans certainly could still pick up the 18 seats needed for a House majority—it’s not an enormous number—and President Trump […] Read more »
Non-College Whites Had Affinity for GOP Before Trump
White Americans without college degrees helped propel Donald Trump to an upset victory in the 2016 election and have been one of his most supportive subgroups during his presidency. The group’s support for Trump may largely reflect their political leanings as much as their affinity for Trump, as currently, 59% […] Read more »
Trump’s Immigration Policies Unify White Republicans
Donald Trump’s ongoing purge of the Department of Homeland Security marks another milestone in his transformation of the GOP into an exclusionary party defined by its hostility to immigration in particular and demographic change in general. … Trump-style views on immigration and race dominate among both the party’s elected officials […] Read more »
Look at the Forest, Not the Trees: What We Do and Don’t Know About 2020
In this age of constant stimulation and news and information overload, it is harder than ever to get perspective. I am as guilty as anyone of getting sucked into the vortex of political twitter, only to emerge hours later with little to show for it. So, this week, I took […] Read more »
Meet the New Election, Same as 2016 Election: Georgetown Institute of Politics and Public Service Battleground Poll
Nearly every election cycle begins with a great number of “unknowns” and “what if’s,” and the 2020 election cycle is no different. In this first Battleground Poll of the 2020 Presidential cycle, we want to start with the one constant seen in all the national polling data since August of […] Read more »
The Battleground: Democratic Perspective
As the 2020 campaign cycle begins in earnest, the findings from the most recent Battleground survey reveal an electorate with an ever-deepening sense of frustration toward the status quo in Washington—evident not just in voters’ dissatisfaction with the President(though Trump’s ratings remain spectacularly bad), but also in their persistent exasperation […] Read more »