Former Vice President Joe Biden’s lead in Democratic primary polls has shrunk to about 11 points — the smallest since he announced his candidacy in April. He also released his fundraising numbers for the second quarter of the year, and he raised less than Pete Buttigieg, who announced the biggest […] Read more »
How Democratic Leadership Misunderstands Modern Political Risk
… Older, whiter, more social conservative America feels under threat of losing their stamp on the country’s character, racial composition and soul–and they’re right. They’re losing: not only is the country inevitably becoming less white, it is also becoming less religious, and the millennial generation is not only larger than […] Read more »
The Most Critical Argument Democrats Will Have in 2020
The battle over health care is emerging as the most consequential policy choice facing Democrats in the 2020 presidential contest—and it’s one that could play out over time to Joe Biden’s advantage. As last week’s debates demonstrated, Democrats now face a stark choice: a nominee who would establish a government-funded, […] Read more »
Trump Needs His Base to Burn With Anger
… Trump portrays his political opponents — Democrats are “sick people” and the media are “enemies of the people” — as threats to the social order, aware that tapping into voter anger and anxiety is one of the most effective tools to drive up election turnout. Alex Gage, head of […] Read more »
Trump campaign looks to gain support with Latino voters despite president’s harsh approach to immigration
In an effort to buttress President Trump’s reelection chances, the Trump campaign is reaching out to an unlikely group: Latino and Hispanic voters. … Polling released this week by Telemundo underscored the challenge facing the campaign in attracting Latino and Hispanic voters. In the key swing state of Florida, 34 […] Read more »
What Roy Moore tells us about the Republican Party — an update
When Roy Moore announced on June 20 that he would run again for the Senate in 2020, an array of Republican politicians responded with undisguised scorn. … Why doesn’t the vehement condemnation of so many prominent Republican politicians necessarily kill off Moore’s electoral chances? The answer is that the distribution […] Read more »