… The public push back against President Trump has produced a level of political engagement the country has never seen before, an elevated anti-Trump Democratic Party consolidated to support the Democratic nominee, whether it is Vice President Biden or Senator Elizabeth Warren. They are defeating Trump by 9 and 7 […] Read more »
Trump’s effort to court Hispanic voters isn’t as crazy as it sounds
President Trump’s claim during a rally in New Mexico on Monday that he could win the state based on Hispanic votes caused much eye-rolling among Washington pundits. They are likely right about New Mexico, but Trump has a better chance to increase Hispanic support than the pundits think. The common […] Read more »
All Eyes Are Shifting to the Senate
This column argued six months ago that to the extent the focus of the political world wasn’t trained on the presidential election, it was on whether Democrats would retain their newly won House majority. It then argued that the Senate would eventually become the biggest non-presidential story—and that appears to […] Read more »
Why race is moving center stage for 2020
An escalating cycle of action and reaction between President Donald Trump and the Democratic presidential contenders is thrusting issues of race relations and American identity to the center of the developing 2020 campaign. … In 2020, the contrast between the nominees on issues of race relations will likely be as […] Read more »
How Both Parties’ 2020 Primaries Are Going
The third Democratic primary debate is over, and the final result from our poll with Ipsos are in. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew breaks down what we know about the winners and losers of last week’s debate, and how the race has changed — or […] Read more »
Don’t vote? The Trump campaign would like a word with you
… Less than 14 months before Election Day, the president’s team is banking his reelection hopes on identifying and bringing to the polls hundreds of thousands of Trump supporters … people in closely contested states who didn’t vote in 2016. The campaign is betting that it may be easier to […] Read more »