… Presidential nominees leading throughout the primary campaign has been the exception, not the rule, for Democratic candidates over the past six decades. This has been the case for a variety of reasons — including because some eventual nominees didn’t enter the race until late in the campaign or because […] Read more »
Why Trump’s Favorite 2016 Map Should Scare Him
This week, as President Donald Trump went on the offensive to bolster his case against impeachment, he tweeted a county-by-county map of the 2016 presidential race that showed a vast sea of red interrupted only by a few blue inlets, mostly along the coasts. The map, captioned with the headline […] Read more »
The Senate: Ratings Changes and the Shadow of Impeachment
A major overall theme in American political life is the nationalization of politics. How people feel about the president is bleeding down the ballot to an extreme degree, to the point where congressional expert Gary Jacobson observed that the 2018 midterm was “the most sweeping national referendum on any administration […] Read more »
Will Trump Ever Leave the White House?
… On March 12, 2019, a month before publication of the Mueller Report, Trump told Breitbart, the hard right populist news site: You know, the left plays a tougher game, it’s very funny. I actually think that the people on the right are tougher, but they don’t play it tougher. […] Read more »
Impeachment Polls Show a Steady Rise in Support
Support for removing President Trump from office has leapt since Speaker Nancy Pelosi opened an impeachment inquiry against him, but his Republican backers appear to represent an increasingly loyal minority, according to polls released this week. As support for impeachment grows, the president’s base is digging in its heels. But […] Read more »
Impeachment in the Global Context
The last ten days have been mind-boggling, with the emergence of new political facts at light speed. Consider that we went from vague references, to a whistleblower complaint, to the launch of an impeachment inquiry, to the release of a “transcript” of the President’s conversation with the Ukrainian president, to […] Read more »