For all his negative poll numbers and impeachment-related liabilities, President Trump has a decisive advantage on one key election battleground: the digital campaign. Under the management of Brad Parscale, the Trump re-election machine has devoted millions more than any individual Democrat to increasingly sophisticated microtargeting techniques. … Trump’s operatives have […] Read more »
The Democrats Descend on Ohio
… Ohio again voted for the winner in 2016, marking the 29th time in 31 elections it had done so. However, it backed Donald Trump by eight points while Trump lost the national popular vote by two points, meaning that it was 10 points more Republican in terms of margin […] Read more »
Which is the right question?
Survey questions asking whether voters want to impeach and remove Donald Trump from office are now mesmerizing pundits and pols. Important as it seems, it may be the wrong question on which to focus. … The preeminent indicator of a president’s political health is his approval rating. CONT. Mark Mellman […] Read more »
Impeachment could lead to a first in the 2020 election
President Donald Trump, who has repeatedly shattered political tradition, may find himself in another unprecedented circumstance in 2020: He could become the first president ever to be impeached by the House and then seek another term in the next election. That unique prospect could scramble the electoral calculations next year […] Read more »
Voters Aren’t Buying Trump’s Promises of a Health Care Plan
New polling shows that most of the public does not think President Trump has or will have a health care plan. … The results of the latest Kaiser Family Foundation’s tracking poll, which will be out Tuesday, show that most Republicans are sticking with Trump, but few other voters are […] Read more »
The Clinton Legacy: Impeachment Hurts the President
Conventional wisdom holds that the Republican Party suffered a big political penalty for impeaching Bill Clinton in 1998. But that’s not quite right. Republicans paid a modest, short-term penalty, while the costs to the Democratic Party appear to have been larger and longer-lasting. … Two decades ago, the Republicans’ decision […] Read more »