Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders (21%) and Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren (18%) are in a close race among likely voters in New Hampshire’s first-in-the-nation Democratic presidential primary, according to a new CNN poll conducted by the University of New Hampshire. Former Vice President Joe Biden stands a shade behind at 15%, […] Read more »
What Should Senate Republicans Do About Impeachment?
What is the savviest political strategy on impeachment for Republicans in the Senate? In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew tries to answer that question in a new edition of FiveThirtyEight Debate. Each member of the team was assigned a position and then tried to poke holes […] Read more »
Trump’s madness is not enough to doom him in 2020
… Yes, the public seems ready to throw Trump out of office. But will Democrats make that easy or hard? A report released last week by the Center for American Progress sheds important light on the party’s choices. One of its key findings will cheer Trump’s foes: If every demographic […] Read more »
Why public opinion polls don’t include the same number of Republicans and Democrats
Newcomers to polling sometimes assume that if you are asking Americans questions about politics, it’s only fair to include an equal number of Republicans and Democrats. While this notion makes some sense on the surface, it’s based on a misunderstanding of what polling is intended to do. The goal of […] Read more »
The Transformation of the Republican Party
On this week’s episode of Poll Hub, Jonah Goldberg – Editor-in-Chief of The Dispatch, host of The Remnant with Jonah Goldberg podcast, a senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute, the Asness Chair in Applied Liberty at the American Enterprise Institute, and former Senior Editor of National Review magazine – […] Read more »
Who’s Ahead in the Hawkeye State?
This week, we look at where the Democrats rank in Iowa with about 100 days to go until the caucuses. Then we dive into a new CNN poll, and break down where the country stands on Syria, impeachment and the 2020 election. Finally, we discuss why top Republicans are beginning […] Read more »