Election 2019 Mega-Preview: Political Conformity Seeks Further Confirmation

As Americans head to the polls next week, there are three major prizes at stake. Republicans currently control all three of these prizes: the governorships in Kentucky and Mississippi and majority control of the Virginia General Assembly, composed of the state House of Delegates and the state Senate. In an […] Read more »

The Border Between Red and Blue America

The suburbs are up for grabs. Anybody who’s paying attention to the 2020 election knows that. But there’s a more fundamental question: Just what are the suburbs anyway? In a statistical sense, they are surprisingly hard to define. The United States Census Bureau, the primary source of demographic data, doesn’t […] Read more »

Primary Challenges Might Keep These Republican Senators From Voting To Remove Trump

Much has been made about whether Republicans will ever cut ties with President Trump over his attempt to hold up military aid to Ukraine to get political dirt on former Vice President Joe Biden. And although there are some signs of the party breaking with Trump, one important reason why […] Read more »

Why the Economy Might Not Sway 2020 Voters

Americans’ views of the economy have become so hardened along partisan lines that the economy may matter less in next year’s presidential election than in the past. Both major political parties have emphasized the economy in the early stages of the campaign. Republicans hope that a rock-bottom unemployment rate and […] Read more »