Few questions may shape the result of the 2020 election more than whether Democrats can exploit the religious gap in attitudes toward President Donald Trump that has emerged among his core constituency of working-class white voters. While polls generally show Trump retaining strong support overall among blue-collar whites, more detailed […] Read more »
New Poll Shows Democratic Candidates Have Been Living in a Fantasy World
In 2018, Democratic candidates waded into hostile territory and flipped 40 House districts, many of them moderate or conservative in their makeup. In almost every instance, their formula centered on narrowing their target profile by avoiding controversial positions, and focusing obsessively on Republican weaknesses, primarily Donald Trump’s abuses of power […] Read more »
Impeachment won’t answer the questions we need to ask
… In many ways, we don’t know a lot about what happens now. We’ve seen only a few presidential impeachments in this country, and each one had its own quirks. I said to a group of colleagues the other day that we probably do have a fair amount of relevant […] Read more »
A year out, here’s four scenarios for 2020 elections
After Donald Trump’s surprise victory in 2016, there’s a saturating fear of projecting elections. Nearly three years into his presidency, and with one year left in his first term, there are multiple potential outcomes for the 2020 elections. But the scenarios aren’t created equal and don’t have the same chance […] Read more »
Biden Retakes Lead From Warren; Both Beat Trump: IBD/TIPP
Former Vice President Joe Biden is back in front of Elizabeth Warren, the November IBD/TIPP Poll of the Democratic nomination contest finds. Biden had narrowly slipped from the top spot in October. Both candidates have solid leads over President Donald Trump in head-to-head polling, though Biden remains the Democrat best […] Read more »
U.S. Sen. John Cornyn’s rivals are unknown even to most Democratic voters
One part of U.S. Sen. John Cornyn’s 2020 reelection campaign is going his way right now: According to the latest University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll, his potential challengers are unknown, even to their own Democratic primary voters. CONT. Ross Ramsey, Texas Tribune Read more »