Can any Republican beat Trump or DeSantis in 2024?

Polls show the 2024 Republican primary is a contest between former President Donald Trump, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis and everybody else. The “everybody else” group includes candidates such as former UN Ambassador Nikki Haley, who look like they’re itching to get into the race despite only polling in the single […] Read more »

Partisan divide over education goes beyond Critical Race Theory

This week the College Board announced it was revising the curriculum of its new Advanced Placement African American Studies course, removing elements around Black writers associated with Critical Race Theory as well as content relating to Black LGBTQ issues and Black feminism. It also added “Black conservatism” as an idea […] Read more »

Views of U.S. economy improve but remain low; debt ceiling uncertainty looms

Views of the nation’s economy have ticked back up — though they remain a long way from good. And amid mixed economic messages and reports, there’s little consensus among Americans on which way the economy is headed from here. In another sign of uncertainty as debt ceiling talks continue, Americans’ […] Read more »

Trump’s Republican opponents are making a painfully obvious mistake

It’s often said that military leaders “fight the last war”: They assume their current enemy is just like the previous one so they misjudge their foe and lose. The Republican establishment is making that exact mistake in the 2024 presidential primary. According to multiple recent reports, high-ranking Republicans don’t want […] Read more »

The Shocking Decline of Senate Ticket-Splitting

Key Points• Senate races are increasingly converging with presidential partisanship, to the point where the huge overperformances that were so common a decade or two ago have become much less common.• Since 2000, the number of senators who have run more than 10 points ahead of their party’s presidential nominee […] Read more »