The candidates in the top 1% have accounted for about 78% of the ad spending in the presidential race so far, according to new numbers. The two self-funding billionaires in the Democratic primary, former New York City Mayor Mike Bloomberg and activist business executive Tom Steyer, have spent the most […] Read more »
Knowns & Unknowns: Hunting Black Swans in the Age of Disruption
Political prognostication, by Bruce Mehlman of Mehlman Castagnetti Rosen & Thomas. CONT. — pdf Read more »
Checking in on Wisconsin
… A president sitting at 42 percent approval, with “strong disapproval” outweighing “strong approval” by 10-12 points is not going to win the national popular vote. But, that doesn’t mean he can’t win the Electoral College. And, in assessing the Electoral College reality, there’s no better place to check into […] Read more »
Is Trump really the MVP of the GOP?
After a tumultuous 2018 that saw them lose their House majority, Republicans often seem eager to dismiss those midterm results as typical while pining for the next election when President Donald Trump will top the ballot and drive turnout in their favor. A closer look, however, shows Trump may not […] Read more »
Think impeachment has been a self-defeating crusade for Democrats? Think again
The recently unveiled Des Moines Register/CNN/Mediacom Iowa Poll is considered the gold standard for deciphering the opening-gun Feb. 3 Democratic caucuses. But a polling question asked of a sample of the entire Iowa electorate may be more important for understanding the upcoming impeachment trial. The question never mentioned the words […] Read more »
Is Democrats’ Tent Too Big to Win the White House?
How, or even whether, Democrats nationwide will vote if their party nominates someone they don’t agree with looms over the Democratic nomination process as the field winnows to candidates with very different worldviews. CONT. V. Lance Tarrance, Gallup Read more »