At this point in the Democratic primary, none of the moderate alternatives to Sen. Bernie Sanders has risen above the rest. Sanders has emerged from the first three voting contests as the race’s progressive front-runner, and voters who think Sanders is too liberal are still left with several choices. It […] Read more »
The State of the Democratic Primary Process
As the process for selecting a nominee for president gets underway, Democratic voters are generally positive about their top candidates for president. But they are only moderately confident that the Democratic Party’s nomination process is fair. … Voters in both parties are generally in agreement on the traits that make […] Read more »
Targeted District Impeachment Acquittal Poll Results
On behalf of the National Republican Congressional Committee, Public Opinion Strategies conducted a poll of 800 registered voters in 95 Congressional districts, 54 of which are held by Democrats and considered NRCC targets, and 41 of which are held by Republicans and considered Democratic targets. … The following are key […] Read more »
The Audacity of Hate
… The Tea Party changed what it was permissible to debate openly in contemporary politics. Within a few years, it enabled Trump to further erode the norms of political combat and more openly instigate partisan conflict based on racial and ethnic antagonism. Under Trump, coded rhetoric like Reagan’s “welfare queen” […] Read more »
Sanders and the Senate
Key Points • Bernie Sanders may be a poorer fit for the Democrats’ Senate targets than some other Democratic contenders if he wins the nomination. • There are two Senate rating changes this week: Colorado moves from Toss-up to Leans Democratic, while Alabama moves from Leans Republican to Likely Republican. […] Read more »
Democrats are picking a nominee based on the factor they’re worst at evaluating
The incident that served as the best predictor of the 2020 Democratic presidential primary actually happened in 2011. That October, then-Gov. Rick Perry (R-Tex.) was leading the Republican field as the party tried to identify a candidate who could beat incumbent President Barack Obama. In a Washington Post-ABC News poll, […] Read more »