According to the latest polling, the spread of COVID-19 has disrupted the daily lives of the vast majority of Americans. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses how that broad effect has — and has not — changed partisan politics. They also ask how the pandemic […] Read more »
Yes, Biden is more likely than Sanders to beat Trump. Here’s how we know.
Many Democratic politicians and voters rallied strongly behind Joe Biden both before and after Super Tuesday, aiming to halt what appeared to be Bernie Sanders’s momentum. Many did so because they feared Sanders is too ideologically extreme to beat Donald Trump in November. Were they right? In short, probably so. […] Read more »
Pandemic and Stock Market Losses Haven’t Dented Trump’s Numbers … Yet
The thoughts and concerns of most people these days are focused on their families, friends, neighbors, and colleagues. Zooming out, they’re also concerned about the impact the coronavirus pandemic will have on the economy, their job, and their place of businesses. But for those in the political business—or addicted to […] Read more »
Red and Blue America Aren’t Experiencing the Same Pandemic
Even a disease as far-reaching as the coronavirus hasn’t entirely crossed the chasm between red and blue America. In several key respects, the outbreak’s early stages are unfolding very differently in Republican- and Democratic-leaning parts of the country. That disconnect is already shaping, even distorting, the nation’s response to this […] Read more »
How Democrats Should Navigate Pandemic Politics
It may seem callous to think about politics in the midst of a pandemic that has millions of Americans secluded at home and wondering if they’ll see their next paychecks. But President Trump’s fumbling and flawed response to coronavirus is a reminder that elections have consequences that can be devastating […] Read more »
How Racist Is Trump’s Republican Party?
Is the modern Republican Party built on race prejudice, otherwise known as racism? Has it become, as Stuart Stevens — a media consultant with an exceptionally high win-loss record who was a lead strategist for George W. Bush in 2000 and 2004 — puts it, the “white grievance party”? … […] Read more »