The recent history of the Iowa Republican caucus offers the candidates chasing former President Donald Trump one big reason for optimism. But that history also presents them with an even larger reason for concern. In each of the past three contested GOP nomination fights, Iowa Republicans have rejected the candidate […] Read more »
More women than men have college degrees. That’s good news for Democrats.
… Back in 1970, only 11% of Americans 25-or-older had a bachelor’s degree. The number has risen every decade to roughly 38% in 2021, according to the data from the Census’s Current Population Survey. The jump since 2010 has been especially sharp and one of the big drivers of that […] Read more »
Trump’s big lead grows, as GOP voters dismiss indictments
Well, there’s no debate about this: Right now, the Republican Party would easily re-nominate Donald Trump for 2024. And it’s not close. The former president now holds his largest lead over his rivals in our polling amid his recent legal troubles. In fact, most of his voters cite those troubles […] Read more »
Republican voters think Trump is electable. They may be right
… Just seven years ago, both Trump and Democrat Hillary Clinton had unfavorable ratings north of 50%. It wasn’t the same majorities that disliked both candidates. Most voters liked at least one of them. But a sizable bloc of the electorate (18%) disliked both candidates, according to the 2016 exit […] Read more »
What to know going into the first GOP primary debate
While most Americans are yawning through the waning days of late August, the political world is buzzing with one indictment after another and now, next week, the first Republican primary debate in Milwaukee. While eight candidates have qualified for the debate, the leading one—former President Donald Trump—may not show up. […] Read more »
Fox News Poll: Ramaswamy rising, as DeSantis loses ground in GOP primary
Former President Donald Trump maintains his large lead in the Republican presidential primary contest, as support doubles for Vivek Ramaswamy and Ron DeSantis hits a new low, according to a new Fox News national survey. Fifty-three percent of Republican primary voters prefer Trump, down a touch from 56% in June. […] Read more »