It was April 20, almost five months ago to the day, when I wrote that “while the fight for Senate control in November is a toss-up, I’d probably put a pinkie on the scale for Democrats right now.” The fight for the Senate is still uncertain, but that pinkie quickly […] Read more »
Americans Mostly Agree on Policing. The Difference Is Priorities.
Even as a pandemic and the resulting economic crisis occupy much of the news, President Trump and Joe Biden often talk about something else: crime and justice. Specifically, they are talking about policing and safety, while offering sharply competing visions of America. Yet a survey reveals that Americans are not […] Read more »
Democrats Viewed as Party Better Able to Handle Top Problem
More Americans believe the Democratic Party (47%) than the Republican Party (39%) would do a better job of handling whatever issue they consider to be the most important problem facing the U.S. Americans’ preferences on this question in presidential election years have generally corresponded with the party that ultimately won […] Read more »
Fight over Ginsburg succession poses stark question: Can majority rule survive in US?
A Republican vote to replace the late Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg before the next presidential inauguration could deepen the pressure on majority rule that is already threatening to engulf all elements of America’s political system. If the Republican-led Senate confirms a nominee from President Donald Trump before January, […] Read more »
Supreme Court Fight Isn’t Guaranteed Game-Changer
While Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg’s death will go down as yet another historic event in 2020, it’s unlikely to change the fundamental trajectory of the elections. In the middle of huge breaking news stories, it can be hard to remember that the country is incredibly polarized and the […] Read more »
Why Supreme Court politics in 2020 look way different from 2016 or 2018
… President Donald Trump was likely helped in the 2016 election by the fight over a Supreme Court nomination. Similarly, Republicans were likely aided in the 2018 Senate battle by the nomination and eventual confirmation of Justice Brett Kavanaugh. We don’t know what the ultimate effect of any Supreme Court […] Read more »