… Cities are Democratic, rural areas Republican, and the places in between, places we call suburbs, are key battlegrounds. But be careful. There is no agreed upon definition of what constitutes “the suburbs.” As is usually the case, ask different questions, get different answers, even if one is endeavoring to […] Read more »
With Tension Draining Out of the Presidential Race, Will GOP Voters Stay Home?
The drama and uncertainty that seems to have leaked out of the presidential race has found its way into the fight for control of the U.S. Senate. If you are into either electoral politics or congressional policy, the range of possible outcomes in next month’s elections is dizzying. At one […] Read more »
Democrats Gain in Georgia Senate Races as Presidential Race Remains Tied
A shift against President Trump among white college-educated voters in Georgia has imperiled Republicans up and down the ballot, according to a New York Times/Siena College survey on Tuesday, as Republicans find themselves deadlocked or trailing in Senate races where their party was once considered the heavy favorite. CONT. Nate […] Read more »
The Senate: Iowa to Leans Democratic
Key Points• We are moving the Iowa Senate race from Toss-up to Leans Democratic. Iowa remains a Toss-up for president.• Iowa may have replaced North Carolina as the race likeliest to decide Senate control, although North Carolina remains a very viable Democratic target despite Cal Cunningham’s (D) troubles.• We have […] Read more »
This is Biden’s shortest path to the White House
Two weeks before Election Day, Joe Biden appears well-positioned to finish the job that Democrats above all hired him to do: Rebuild the party’s blue wall in the Rust Belt. Biden’s principal asset in the 2020 Democratic primaries was the widespread sense among party voters that he was best qualified […] Read more »
2020 States of Change Report Finds Generational Transformation Will Be Critical to America’s Electoral Future
The generational makeup of the United States will change dramatically in the future, a shift that will have potentially profound effects in future elections, according to a new States of Change report published today by demographic experts from the Center for American Progress, the Bipartisan Policy Center (BPC), the Brookings […] Read more »