Americans Are Shifting The Rest Of Their Identity To Match Their Politics

We generally think of a person’s race or religion as being fixed — and that those parts of identity (being black, say, or evangelical Christian) drive political views. Most African-Americans vote Democratic. Most evangelical Christians vote Republican. But New York University political scientist Patrick Egan has written a new paper […] Read more »

Trouble for Trump? Poll shows midterm election edge for Democrats and female candidates

The political landscape for the midterm elections favors Democrats in general and female candidates in particular, a new USA TODAY/Suffolk University Poll says, raising the prospect of significant perils for President Donald Trump in the next Congress. At the traditional Labor Day start of the campaign’s fall sprint, those surveyed […] Read more »

Getting to Know White Voters

There are LOTS of opinions and narratives out there about white voters. Hillary Clinton lost because white women abandoned her. White, non-college educated voters are Trump’s base. They are never coming back/will come back to Democrats. Donald Trump’s testosterone-laden presidency alienated lots of white, college-educated women who held their noses […] Read more »

A new poll shows 5 big challenges facing the Republicans in November

With the midterm election less than three months away, there is considerable agreement among forecasters on the Democrats’ chances of regaining a House majority: 73 percent (538), 70 percent (The Economist), 67 percent (PredictIt), 67 percent (Good Judgment) and 64 percent (Predictwise). Now, a new GW Politics Poll provides a […] Read more »