What are Americans’ views on Islam and Syrian refugees? It turns out, they’re strikingly similar to how Americans felt about Judaism and European refugees before World War II. Polling expert Robert Jones suggests that these attitudes may be tied to the economy, and worries what this latest data could mean […] Read more »
How America’s Demographic Revolution Reached The Church
Long the dominant group in American religious life, White Christians have fallen below a majority of the U.S. population—and they are moving to the right politically as they recede. The result is that, like race and age, religious affiliation marks a sharpening point of distinction between Republicans and Democrats, previously […] Read more »
What do UK Muslims really think about terrorism?
On this week’s PB / Polling Matters podcast, Keiran speaks to Tom Mludzinski of ComRes about the firm’s polling among British Muslims earlier this year before speaking with Maria Sobolewska from the University of Manchester about her work looking at Muslim public opinion in the UK on terrorism and other […] Read more »
What Polls Can’t Tell Us About Faith In America
… On this week’s episode of our podcast What’s The Point, Emma Green of The Atlantic and FiveThirtyEight’s Leah Libresco discuss why polling about faith is so hard and what lessons it offers for collecting data about the other parts of our lives. CONT. Jody Avirgan, FiveThirtyEight Read more »
How terrorist attacks can change opinions and elections — including the 2016 election
… For the past 10 years, we have researched the connection between terrorist threat and public opinion. In our book, “Democracy at Risk,” and in our more recent work, we argue that public attitudes and evaluations shift in at least three politically relevant ways when terrorist threat is more prominent […] Read more »
The Big Issues Of The 2016 Campaign
With less than a year to go before the election, FiveThirtyEight’s staff members took a detailed look at seven issues we cover regularly, examining the positions of the presidential candidates and suggesting developments likely to arise before the voting takes place. CONT. FiveThirtyEight Read more »