Just weeks before the Supreme Court is expected to rule on whether the Trump administration can add a citizenship question to the 2020 Census, new evidence emerged Thursday suggesting the question was crafted specifically to give an electoral advantage to white Republicans. The evidence was found in the files of […] Read more »
Notes on the State of the House
Let’s start here with a caveat: House generic ballot polling from a year and a half before a general election should not be treated as predictive. The 2020 House election depends on a lot of factors that remain unknowable, most importantly the tone-setting effect of the presidential race, which at […] Read more »
New research shows just how badly a citizenship question would hurt the 2020 Census
The Trump administration’s attempt to add a citizenship question to the 2020 Census reaches the Supreme Court on Tuesday. Thus far, three federal judges have ruled against the Trump administration, most recently in Maryland. The Supreme Court will consider not only whether the administration violated administrative law, but also whether […] Read more »
Adding a citizenship question to the 2020 census would cost some states their congressional seats
An envelope containing a 2018 census letter mailed to a U.S. resident as part of the nation’s only test run of the 2020 census. AP Photo/Michelle R. Smith Dudley Poston, Texas A&M University A partisan battle is brewing over the 2020 census. In March 2018, Secretary of Commerce Wilbur Ross […] Read more »
Judge bars citizenship question from 2020 census
A federal judge blocked the Trump administration Tuesday from asking about citizenship status on the 2020 census, the first major ruling in cases contending officials ramrodded the question through for Republican political purposes to intentionally undercount immigrants. CONT. Larry Neumeister, Associated Press Read more »
All or Nothing: How State Politics Became a Winner-Take-All World
… All over the country, chambers that once were up for grabs are now firmly controlled by one party holding what resembles an open-ended lease. … In American state politics these days, power results not from a contest of ideas, but rather from demographic identities. The country is divided along […] Read more »