4 ways Biden’s running mate could help — or hurt — the Democratic ticket

We know that Joe Biden’s vice presidential pick will be a female and that the announcement is coming very soon. Beyond that, it’s a mystery, though several contenders have emerged, including Sen. Kamala Harris, Rep. Karen Bass and Susan Rice, among others. Presidential nominees of the past have taken very […] Read more »

How The GOP Chose To Be A White Party

In general, the Republican Party gets between 5 and 10 percent of the Black vote and less than a third of the Hispanic vote nationally. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Clare Malone discusses the series of choices the GOP made, spanning decades, that made it an overwhelmingly […] Read more »

Reputations of leaders in crises

Leaders frequently forge their reputations in crises. In normal times, competition for the public’s attention is fierce. Crises, by contrast, put leaders at the center of our focus. Almost every eye is firmly fixed on them. … In the midst of World War II, British Prime Minister Winston Churchill’s approval […] Read more »

Getting Cartered

Key Points • President Trump’s approval numbers have remained steady or have even improved in the midst of the coronavirus crisis. • That said, the potential threat that the combined health and economic crisis poses to his reelection odds is obvious. • Trump may find himself in the position of […] Read more »

Trump’s Approval Hits New High, But A Rally-Around-The-Flag Effect Is Small

Asked if he has any regrets about the way he’s handled the coronavirus crisis so far, President Trump said no — and he cited polling to back him up. “No, I think that we’ve handled it really well,” Trump said on Monday. “The American public thinks that we’ve handled it […] Read more »