Ted Cruz Is Just Like Reagan In 1980, Except People Actually Liked Reagan

Let’s dispose of this myth once and for all. Every presidential election cycle we hear it: “Well, they said Ronald Reagan could never be elected.” We’re hearing this chestnut again in the wake of Sen. Ted Cruz’s announcement this week that he’s running for president. CONT. Harry Enten, FiveThirtyEight Read more »

For Presidents Day, a look at presidential job approval ratings from Ike to Obama

Perhaps no measure better captures the public’s sentiment toward the president than job approval. It dates back to the earliest days of public opinion polling, when George Gallup asked about Franklin D. Roosevelt starting in the 1930s: “Do you approve or disapprove of the way ____ is handling his job […] Read more »

How the Great Wage Slowdown Hurts Democrats

It’s a simple rule: A weak economy makes for an unpopular president. President Obama is on course to become the fourth president of the last six to leave office with an approval rating well below 50 percent. Each of the previous three — both Bushes and Jimmy Carter — also […] Read more »