Former President Donald Trump now holds an advantage over Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis as Republican voters’ preference for the party’s 2024 nomination. The Monmouth University Poll shows Trump has made gains among nearly every voting bloc since the start of the year and is especially popular among strong MAGA supporters. […] Read more »
The Tea Party Didn’t Get What It Wanted, but It Did Unleash the Politics of Anger
In the late summer of 2009, as the recession-ravaged economy bled half a million jobs a month, the country seemed to lose its mind. … Ten years since that summer of rage, the ideas that animated the Tea Party movement have been largely abandoned by Republicans under President Trump. Trillion-dollar […] Read more »
Why did the GOP vote for a budget-busting spending bill? Because voters don’t seem to care.
More than 70 percent of Republicans in the House and Senate happily voted for the massive bipartisan budget compromise, despite years of preaching the gospel of small government and lowering federal spending. … To many observers it was a breathtaking contradiction, with some suggesting that there would be political consequences […] Read more »
The End of the 114th Congress
The 114th Congress has finally ended. The most polarized Congress since the early 20th Century and one where almost all issues have been drawn into the first dimension [we will address dimensionality in a future post; the current period is unique in American history]. CONT. Voteview Read more »
Trump Overtakes Cruz in Final Iowa Poll Before Caucuses
Donald Trump has overtaken Ted Cruz in the final days before Iowa’s caucuses, with the fate of the race closely tied to the size of Monday evening’s turnout, especially among evangelical voters and those attending for the first time, a Bloomberg Politics/Des Moines Register Iowa Poll shows. CONT. John McCormick, […] Read more »
What Would The Republican Race Look Like Without Trump?
If the debate in South Carolina two weeks ago represented the Republican primary in microcosm, this one was like a randomized control trial: What would the GOP primary look like without Donald Trump? CONT. Nate Silver, FiveThirtyEight Read more »